Odin
Purp1eOne
Winning
Jarl (15,417)
Feb 3, 2017
Valhalla
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Post by Purp1eOne on Nov 3, 2020 15:59:57 GMT -6
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Odin
Purp1eOne
Winning
Jarl (15,417)
Feb 3, 2017
Valhalla
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Post by Purp1eOne on Nov 3, 2020 16:01:34 GMT -6
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Odin
Purp1eOne
Winning
Jarl (15,417)
Feb 3, 2017
Valhalla
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Post by Purp1eOne on Nov 3, 2020 16:02:54 GMT -6
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mkeviking
Fri-hals (397)
Jun 1, 2020
Valhalla
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Post by mkeviking on Nov 3, 2020 16:05:56 GMT -6
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Odin
Purp1eOne
Winning
Jarl (15,417)
Feb 3, 2017
Valhalla
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Post by Purp1eOne on Nov 3, 2020 16:10:53 GMT -6
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OkieDokie
Surviving
Jarl (22,857)
Feb 5, 2017
Valhalla
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Post by OkieDokie on Nov 3, 2020 16:13:48 GMT -6
It’s a Red Wave. Keep in mind states like Florida can only show votes by party (same in all states). We know for fact Trump has at least a 95% approval rating in Pub party and Joe has much less in Dem party. So when votes are added up the lead will increase for Trump. Add in Indys going for Trump at a higher clip. Its a bloodbath and Trump will win popular vote too. Philly (biggest Dem area in Penn) has no waiting lines at voting areas. Those are lost Dem votes. Rural is voting at a higher clip, those are Pub votes
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Odin
Purp1eOne
Winning
Jarl (15,417)
Feb 3, 2017
Valhalla
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Post by Purp1eOne on Nov 3, 2020 16:15:09 GMT -6
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Odin
Purp1eOne
Winning
Jarl (15,417)
Feb 3, 2017
Valhalla
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Post by Purp1eOne on Nov 3, 2020 16:18:02 GMT -6
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BadgerVol
Thegn (2,485)
Aug 14, 2019
Valhalla
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Post by BadgerVol on Nov 3, 2020 16:29:54 GMT -6
Why id foxnews saying “it’s most likely Biden?”
What in earth? How can they be SO wrong?
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Uncle
Berserker (7,565)
Feb 8, 2017
Valhalla
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Post by Uncle on Nov 3, 2020 16:32:39 GMT -6
I know this tweet is old and Florida is seemingly leaning "red" as the days going on, but it's key to compare %'s to what happened in 2016 for some context. In Sumter County, FL for example (home of The Villages, several retirees/seniors), Trump won that by a 2.5 X 1 margin then (52k votes to Hillary's 22k), so the fact that Trump is seemingly keeping that same pace might suggest more broadly that seniors are not leaving Trump for Biden due to COVID-19, like the MSM and Biden's campaign have suggested recently... The comparison to 2016 will also be key in early states that report results the earliest - Indiana and Kentucky, who have traditionally started reporting results as early as 6PM. Both states are traditionally red and in no danger of flipping blue for Biden, but the key is to watch certain "bellweather" counties. In Indiana, the county directly north of Indianapolis - Hamilton County - is very affluent and could be an indication of how other affluent suburban voters break in this election. Remember, Democrats are pinning their chances not only on the Presidential Election, but also on expanding the House and Flipping the Senate on the suburbs like they did during the 2018 midterms. In 2016, Trump won Hamilton County, IN by 30k votes or 19 % pts. If we see early returns tonight from that County that Trump's margin has slipped below double-digits, that could be a sign of some trouble is suburban areas in other states....and likewise, if you see Trump's number increased from 2016 and get back into the 20's and closer to Romney's 34-pt margin of victory in 2012, then that really could be another indication of a "red wave" and the possibility of not only reelecting Trump, but flipping the House....
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Post by snotbubbles on Nov 3, 2020 16:35:07 GMT -6
It’s a Red Wave. Keep in mind states like Florida can only show votes by party (same in all states). We know for fact Trump has at least a 95% approval rating in Pub party and Joe has much less in Dem party. So when votes are added up the lead will increase for Trump. Add in Indys going for Trump at a higher clip. Its a bloodbath and Trump will win popular vote too. Philly (biggest Dem area in Penn) has no waiting lines at voting areas. Those are lost Dem votes. Rural is voting at a higher clip, those are Pub votes Philthy and Cheeseburgh are not what my state is all about, everywhere else are "good ole boys", like to hunt fish and defend our country if we get the privilege. Cheeseburgh is much better than Philthy, still the iron workers mindset there, work hard and keep the head down. Rural is Pub, we breath clean air and don't embrace the lawless culture the left has given blow jobs too. We are not the racist Bible thumping clinging to our guns Osama portrayed us as, we are people loving, Bible loving and damn fine hunters.
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Odin
Purp1eOne
Winning
Jarl (15,417)
Feb 3, 2017
Valhalla
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Post by Purp1eOne on Nov 3, 2020 16:37:01 GMT -6
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Norseman
Thegn (3,074)
Apr 21, 2018
Valhalla
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Post by Norseman on Nov 3, 2020 16:38:01 GMT -6
As I posted elsewhere, I don't think party affiliation matters much in Clark County. Vegas was devastated by the shutdown, and now we have Joe threatening to shut everything down a second time. There are a lot of hard working folks in LV who have been out of work for many months. It's slowly reopening (I was there for three nights in October), but there's still a long ways to go. Trump may be those people's only chance to get back to work any time soon.
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Uncle
Berserker (7,565)
Feb 8, 2017
Valhalla
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Post by Uncle on Nov 3, 2020 16:49:02 GMT -6
Indiana and Kentucky will be the first 2 states to begin reporting results after 6PM...
Both are in no danger of flipping blue, but, how much Trump is winning by compared to 2016 will be the key...and since Indiana is so close to the critical "Rust Belt" states that made up the pre-2016 Democratic "Blue Wall", how much Trump wins compared to 2016 could be an indication of how well he does in Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan, Ohio and PA.
In 2016, Trump won Indiana by 19 pts - 56% to Hillary's 37%. If early returns out of Indiana show the same % or higher for Trump, that could spell good news in surrounding states, and conversely, if he's only up by less than double-digits in Indiana in early returns then it's certainly not good news at all....
It will be interesting to see the returns out of Lake County, IN (includes those cities east of Chicago like Gary) because it's working class and 25% Black, and traditionally a Democratic stronghold. Hillary won that county by 20 pts in 2016, and if Trump is able to get that down below double-digits and possibly pull very close to actually winning that county, that could mean a strong sign of not only working class voters breaking for Trump, but also that Black voters are switching parties, too - which has been suggested recently...
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Odin
Purp1eOne
Winning
Jarl (15,417)
Feb 3, 2017
Valhalla
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Post by Purp1eOne on Nov 3, 2020 16:49:10 GMT -6
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